Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000177 0.000197 0.000218 0.000242 0.000269 0.000298 0.000333
2025-05-04 0.000141 0.000168 0.000200 0.000240 0.000290 0.000350 0.000428
2025-05-11 0.000120 0.000151 0.000190 0.000243 0.000312 0.000402 0.000527
2025-05-18 0.000104 0.000137 0.000180 0.000241 0.000326 0.000443 0.000617
2025-05-25 0.000092 0.000126 0.000172 0.000239 0.000338 0.000481 0.000707
2025-06-01 0.000082 0.000116 0.000163 0.000236 0.000347 0.000515 0.000794
2025-06-08 0.000073 0.000106 0.000153 0.000228 0.000347 0.000533 0.000858
2025-06-15 0.000068 0.000101 0.000150 0.000231 0.000363 0.000580 0.000974
2025-06-22 0.000064 0.000098 0.000149 0.000235 0.000383 0.000633 0.001111
2025-06-29 0.000059 0.000091 0.000142 0.000230 0.000385 0.000658 0.001197
2025-07-06 0.000053 0.000084 0.000133 0.000220 0.000378 0.000663 0.001248
2025-07-13 0.000050 0.000080 0.000130 0.000221 0.000390 0.000705 0.001377
2025-07-20 0.000048 0.000078 0.000130 0.000226 0.000410 0.000768 0.001563
2025-07-27 0.000045 0.000074 0.000126 0.000225 0.000420 0.000811 0.001720
2025-08-03 0.000042 0.000072 0.000124 0.000227 0.000436 0.000870 0.001922
2025-08-10 0.000039 0.000068 0.000120 0.000225 0.000444 0.000914 0.002098
2025-08-17 0.000037 0.000065 0.000117 0.000223 0.000453 0.000959 0.002285
2025-08-24 0.000035 0.000062 0.000113 0.000220 0.000457 0.000997 0.002461
2025-08-31 0.000032 0.000058 0.000107 0.000213 0.000451 0.001007 0.002566
2025-09-07 0.000031 0.000057 0.000106 0.000215 0.000468 0.001076 0.002850
2025-09-14 0.000030 0.000056 0.000106 0.000220 0.000490 0.001161 0.003199
2025-09-21 0.000028 0.000053 0.000102 0.000215 0.000489 0.001188 0.003381
2025-09-28 0.000026 0.000049 0.000096 0.000206 0.000476 0.001179 0.003450